Archive for July, 2008

Investors Beware! Watch Out for Acquisition Happy Management

Simon Giannakis asked:


Summary Points to Take Away

 



Why companies enter into M&A activities: (1) Cost Cutting (2) Improved Bargaining Power (3) Control Premiums (4) Diversification (5) Growth.

Not always the shareholders of the acquirer that get to keep the value of estimated synergies.

 Why worry about M&A activities: (1) Management Masking Internal Growth Deficiencies (2) Extrapolating historical growth without the costs of continuing past acquisition activity (3) Integration Issues (4) Spreading Management Too Thin.

Why Companies Enter into Merger & Acquisition Activities



The most common reasoning spread by management of acquisition hungry organizations is the value created by synergies, to be passed onto the shareholders, such as:

 

Cost Cutting: Value created by supporting the same revenue base with fewer capital expenditures and lower levels of operating expenses, which is usually realized through salary cutting by merging similar departments (ex. combining of marketing departments would only require one VP of marketing instead of two).

 

Improved Bargaining Positioning: Growing market share to improve bargaining power over suppliers and consumers, typically having a positive effect on the combined company’s gross margin.

 

Control premiums: The additional value created by switching management, who can theoretically further utilize the company’s operations beyond the level of the previous management.

 

Diversification: Allowing companies to branch into different industries, which spread the risk of variability of operating cash flows, resulting in a more consistent level of performance. This provides investors with greater value by providing steady cash flow with less risk of variability in operating performance.

 

Growth: Allowing companies with few growth opportunities to exploit opportunities available to firms with little capital to take advantage of them.

 

Based on the above points, it appears reasonable to assume that acquisitions can lead to the creation of value for shareholders. Empirical evidence though indicates that the acquirer typically underperforms the rest of the market in terms of returns to shareholders. Two theories behind why this is the case: (1) Value created from synergies are often realized by the shareholders of the acquired and not the acquirer (2) Synergies are over-simplified leading to an underestimate of the difficultly involved in realizing synergies.

Who Gets to Keep the Value Created by M&A Actions?

 

Empirical evidence shows that shareholders of the acquired firm are the main beneficiaries during merger and acquisition activities. Why is this? Bidding wars! Management of likely to be acquired companies take their case to other competitors of the potential acquirer in order to get more bids involved in the acquisition process, forcing the winner of the bidding to likely had over a substantial portion of the estimated synergies to be gained over to the shareholders of the acquired company. When considering that there is risk to realizing these estimated synergies, the risk of realizing those synergies lies squarely on the shoulders of the acquiring companies’ shareholders as those of the acquired are receiving a tender offer for their shares that already includes the value of these synergies. Famed investor Warren Buffet sticks to acquiring no more than 20% of companies as purchasing the rest would bring him into a bidding war; thus, reducing the inherent value to be earned by making the purchase, as he says “We don’t do bidding wars”.

 

What Else Should Investor’s be Concerned About

 

Investor’s should keep several factors in mind when researching and purchasing companies known as “serial acquirers”:

 

Masking internal growth deficiencies. Management may be troubled by low organic growth rates, and in an effort to improve the growth rate to shareholders, they’ll begin acquiring companies to prop up annual growth. This long term growth strategy is unsustainable though as opportunities will become scare and the fact remains that the core business is not growing on its own.

 

Extrapolating growth but not the cost of acquisitions. Many analysts factor in historical growth rates obtained through acquisitions into the future without factoring the cost of continually purchasing firms to maintain this growth rate. When perusing an analyst’s research report, keep this in mind.

 

Integration Issues. The majority of mergers and acquisitions face more issues and complications than expected. As an auditor, I’ve been on several engagements involving recent M&A activities, and from my personal experience the transition rarely goes smoothly. Issues both big and small, from conflicting corporate cultures down to integrating all staff on a common phone and internet network. The process takes years, and in some instances full integration never happens

 

Spreading management too thin. Upon M&A activities the acquired company’s executive team is typically terminated; thus, placing additional tasks and responsibilities among the existing management team. Tends to bog them down with operational and integration issues instead of focusing on keeping the company’s strategy on tract and being focused on the future, not fixing the small issues of the past and present. Management’s focus changes to handling current issues instead of anticipating on how to overcome the problems of tomorrow.

 

Where to go from here?

 

If you find yourself with a position in a serial acquirer (i.e. management who make continuous acquisitions), keep the above points in mind when assessing its value. The issues noted above don’t apply to all acquirers, but they are typically not the norm.

 

THANKS – SIMON



TOBIE

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Mergers and Acquisitions – Opportunities in Downturn

Mark Waltzer asked:


The current economic slump in United States has opened up a window of opportunity for foreign buyers interested in gaining foothold in USA. The deal is further sweetened for them as most of the domestic players will shy away from acquiring businesses due to the recession and weakening dollar situation.

How does the US middle market business profit from selling their business to a foreign buyer in times of a weak dollar and weaker economy?

The important thing to remember here is that although foreign investors are entering in US cheaply with the intent of riding on the downturn and raking more profits when the economy picks up, but they are still dependent on the locals to understand and navigate business in the unique US culture. An experienced investment banker will advise a seller on how to benefit even during downturn. A seller can sell portion of their business and hang on to some part while also staying on as a manager to guide the business through downtown into economic stability and eventual prosperity.

Private Equity Groups (PEGs) are also sourcing middle market deals as the field is getting more competitive (there are 1800 PEGs is the US. They have shifted focus from larger deals which are few and far between and have turned more resourceful and flexible in keeping an eagle eye on investment banker’s auction to gain exclusive M&A deals. PEGs can be an important revenue source for business owners when bank loans have dried up).

An economic downturn is also an opportunity to grow strategically at more reasonable prices compared to the highly inflated prices of boom time. This can be the right time to explore for mergers and acquisitions. It could be good idea to hire a professional M&A advisor or an investment banker who is well aware of the market trends. Besides there are certain checklists prior to jumping on this bandwagon:

(1) Check twice prior to formulating the overall plan for integration with existing set-up

(2) Keeping the owner as manager can act as motivation for closing the deals faster but it also needs to be verified whether that would go well with your own senior team

(3) Be prepared to face lot of legal and administrative hurdles

(4) Never pick targets that are too small to waste efforts

(5) Create a board of experienced outsiders who asks the right questions to keep you on track and don’t acquire faster than you can integrate.

Lastly, after months of discussion, the deal might get complex and tense while drafting letter of intent (LOI) for closing. You can minimize your risk factors if you have a team of experienced M&A business advisors by your side. They can prove to be of great assistance with due diligence and legal and tax compliance besides drafting favorable Purchase & Sale Agreement with their team of expert economists, accountants and lawyers.



CAMELIA

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The Effect Of Mergers On The Stock Market

Jim Pretin asked:


From time to time, companies merge with one another. Sometimes, a merger involves a company that you are currently invested in and there are usually rumors of the proposed alliance before it actually takes place. So, the question is, how will this event affect the value of the stock and what should you do?

Mergers are made when the result of joining two companies together will increase the value of both companies. This process is also often referred to as an acquisition. Sometimes two businesses that are close to or equal in value come together and form a new corporation with new stock.

Other times, one company in the transaction is significantly larger than the other, and it buys the stock of the other company and absorbs all of its assets and businesses by issuing stock from the larger company to shareholders of the smaller company. Sometimes cash is paid, but stock-for-stock swaps are more common.

Knowing how a merger will affect your investment in a certain stock requires that you first understand the circumstances and the conditions of the buyout. You should ask yourself three important questions:

1) What is the current financial condition of each company? (If both companies are in good shape, then joining them together will likely make each entity stronger; if one company is in trouble, then the other will be saddled with the problems of the other)

2) How many shares will you have after the merger takes place? (Sometimes, if one company is eliminated after the alliance takes place, the shareholders of the eliminated company will not receive shares equal to what they currently have; you might only receive 1 share in the new company for every 4 shares you had in the old company, and depending upon the current market price, this could actually decrease the overall value of your investment, so you might want to sell before the merger takes place)

3) How much is the acquiring company paying for the smaller company? (If the acquirer is paying less than or equal to what the smaller business is worth, this might not be a good sign, but if they are paying a premium for the other company, this is a sign that the acquisition is remunerative and will increase their overall worth)

Shareholders will typically be given the opportunity to vote on a merger before it takes place. Each share you own will count for one vote. The management of the corporation usually holds most of the shares, so their votes count for the majority, but you should still consider your vote carefully.

You should exercise your right to vote, and your decision should be based upon what will be best for the future value of your shares. You should examine the income statement and balance sheet of the other company involved in the acquisition to get a sense of whether the merger will be beneficial or detrimental.

I hope this information will assist you with reviewing the pros and cons of a merger. Put together all of the relevant facts discussed in this article and you should be able to ascertain what the consequences will be. Just use your common sense and you should do fine.



VANCE

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